Laporan IHSG & Rekomendasi Saham — Kamis, 14 Mei 2026

📊 IHSG DAILY REPORT — Kamis, 14 Mei 2026 Market Status: ❌ CLOSED — Public holiday (Ascension Day)

📈 IHSG KEY METRICS — May 13, 2026

1-Month: -12.41% | YoY: -3.68% | ATH: 9,174.47 (Jan 2026)

🔥 PRIMARY CATALYST: MSCI Rebalancing

MSCI May 2026 Quarterly Review removed 6 Indonesian stocks from Global Standard Index and 13 from Small Cap Index.

Removed from Global Standard: AMMN, BREN, TPIA, DSSA, CUAN, AMRT (→ Small Cap) Removed from Small Cap: ANTM, BSDE, SIDO, MIKA + 9 others

Impact:

• Indonesia MSCI weight reduced ~16bps (0.72% → 0.56%)
• Estimated foreign capital outflows: ~Rp29.5 trillion
• YTD foreign net sell (regular market): Rp48.48 trillion
• All changes effective June 1, 2026

OJK assessment: Correction "still within reasonable limits"

🏭 SECTOR PERFORMANCE

📉 TOP LOSERS

📈 TOP GAINERS

📐 TECHNICAL LEVELS

Support: 6,745 / 6,682 Resistance: 6,917 / 7,069 Bearish target: 6,644 – 6,727 Worst case: 6,538 – 6,585 (gap fill)

Phintraco: IHSG may test 6,700-6,650 next week Trading Economics: Q2 est 6,834.90 | 12-mo est 6,083.59

⭐ TOP 10 STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS

1. BBCA — Bank Central Asia | Banking | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Largest private bank, ROE ~25%, defensive blue-chip, minimal MSCI impact. → Long-term, Conservative

2. BBRI — Bank Rakyat Indonesia | Banking | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Dominant MSME lender, jumbo dividend potential FY2026, resilient +0.63% on May 13. → Long-term, Dividend

3. TLKM — Telkom Indonesia | Telecom | 🔵 BUY | TP: Rp4,000 Digital infrastructure backbone, projected net profit Rp23.2T (2026). → Long-term, Growth & Dividend

4. ISAT — Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison | Telecom | 🔵 BUY Entry: 2,200-2,220 | Target: 2,260-2,300 | SL: 2,080 Post-merger synergy, PAT +254% YoY. → Medium-term, Growth

5. BBNI — Bank Negara Indonesia | Banking | 🔵 BUY +2.36% on May 13 bucking the trend, attractive valuation. → Medium-term, Value

6. BIRD — Blue Bird | Transportation | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Transport sector top performer (+4.89%), dominant taxi brand. → Medium-term, Cyclical Recovery

7. ASII — Astra International | Conglomerate | 🟡 BUY ON WEAKNESS -3.31% dip = entry opportunity. OCBC Sekuritas 2026 top pick. → Long-term, Value, Dividend

8. ICBP — Indofood CBP | Consumer Non-Cyclical | 🔵 BUY Defensive staple, Indomie & CPG brand strength. → Long-term, Defensive

9. ADMR — Adaro Minerals Indonesia | Energy/Mining | 🟡 TRADING BUY Entry: 1,750-1,760 | Target: 1,800-1,825 | SL: 1,645

10. TUGU — Asuransi Tugu Pratama | Insurance | 🟡 TRADING BUY Entry: 1,145-1,150 | Target: 1,180-1,200 | SL: 1,090

🔮 MARKET OUTLOOK

🐻 Bearish: Continued foreign outflows, rupiah pressure (~Rp17,400/USD), US rate uncertainty, Middle East tensions

🐂 Bullish: OJK reassurance, Indonesia retains EM status, banking/telecom strong fundamentals, market closed 2 days may cool selling pressure

Key Support: 6,650 – 6,700 (immediate), 6,538 – 6,585 (worst case gap)

📅 KEY DATES

📡 Sources: Trading Economics, MNC Sekuritas, Mirae Asset, Phintraco, CNBC Indonesia, Bisnis.com, Kontan, IDN Financials, IDX/BEI

Generated by AndreFinance 💸 | May 14, 2026