📊 IHSG DAILY REPORT — Kamis, 14 Mei 2026 Market Status: ❌ CLOSED — Public holiday (Ascension Day)
📈 IHSG KEY METRICS — May 13, 2026
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Close | 6,723.32 |
| Change | -135.57 pts (-1.98%) |
| Previous Close | 6,858.90 |
| Open | 6,763.94 (-1.38% gap down) |
| Session 1 Close | ~6,734.54 (-1.81%) |
| Market Cap | Rp11,841 trillion |
| Volume | 24.74 billion shares |
| Transaction Value | Rp10.26 trillion |
| Advancers | 280 |
1-Month: -12.41% | YoY: -3.68% | ATH: 9,174.47 (Jan 2026)
🔥 PRIMARY CATALYST: MSCI Rebalancing
MSCI May 2026 Quarterly Review removed 6 Indonesian stocks from Global Standard Index and 13 from Small Cap Index.
Removed from Global Standard: AMMN, BREN, TPIA, DSSA, CUAN, AMRT (→ Small Cap) Removed from Small Cap: ANTM, BSDE, SIDO, MIKA + 9 others
Impact:
- Indonesia MSCI weight reduced ~16bps (0.72% → 0.56%)
- Estimated foreign capital outflows: ~Rp29.5 trillion
- YTD foreign net sell (regular market): Rp48.48 trillion
- All changes effective June 1, 2026
OJK assessment: Correction "still within reasonable limits"
🏭 SECTOR PERFORMANCE
| Sektor | Change |
|---|---|
| 🚌 Transportation | +4.89% ✅ |
| 🏭 Industrial | +1.26% ✅ |
| 🛍️ Consumer Non-Cyclical | -0.44% |
| 🏦 Finance | -0.58% |
| 🏘️ Property | -0.70% |
| 💻 Technology | -0.71% |
| 🏥 Health | -1.22% |
| 🛒 Consumer Cyclical | -1.40% |
| ⚡ Energy | -1.61% |
| 🏗️ Infrastructure | -2.72% |
| 🪨 Basic Materials | -4.43% ❌ |
📉 TOP LOSERS
| Saham | Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| MORA | -15.00% | — |
| AMMN | -9.10% | MSCI removal |
| CUAN | -9.00% | MSCI removal |
| BREN | -4.75% | MSCI removal |
| AMRT | -4.20% | Moved to Small Cap |
| BYAN | -3.80% | — |
| ASII | -3.31% | — |
📈 TOP GAINERS
| Saham | Change |
|---|---|
| BRPT | +14.86% |
| SMMA | +4.30% |
| DSSA | +2.64% |
| BBNI | +2.36% |
| BBRI | +0.63% |
📐 TECHNICAL LEVELS
Support: 6,745 / 6,682 Resistance: 6,917 / 7,069 Bearish target: 6,644 – 6,727 Worst case: 6,538 – 6,585 (gap fill)
Phintraco: IHSG may test 6,700-6,650 next week Trading Economics: Q2 est 6,834.90 | 12-mo est 6,083.59
⭐ TOP 10 STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS
1. BBCA — Bank Central Asia | Banking | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Largest private bank, ROE ~25%, defensive blue-chip, minimal MSCI impact. → Long-term, Conservative
2. BBRI — Bank Rakyat Indonesia | Banking | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Dominant MSME lender, jumbo dividend potential FY2026, resilient +0.63% on May 13. → Long-term, Dividend
3. TLKM — Telkom Indonesia | Telecom | 🔵 BUY | TP: Rp4,000 Digital infrastructure backbone, projected net profit Rp23.2T (2026). → Long-term, Growth & Dividend
4. ISAT — Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison | Telecom | 🔵 BUY Entry: 2,200-2,220 | Target: 2,260-2,300 | SL: 2,080 Post-merger synergy, PAT +254% YoY. → Medium-term, Growth
5. BBNI — Bank Negara Indonesia | Banking | 🔵 BUY +2.36% on May 13 bucking the trend, attractive valuation. → Medium-term, Value
6. BIRD — Blue Bird | Transportation | 🔵 BUY / ACCUMULATE Transport sector top performer (+4.89%), dominant taxi brand. → Medium-term, Cyclical Recovery
7. ASII — Astra International | Conglomerate | 🟡 BUY ON WEAKNESS -3.31% dip = entry opportunity. OCBC Sekuritas 2026 top pick. → Long-term, Value, Dividend
8. ICBP — Indofood CBP | Consumer Non-Cyclical | 🔵 BUY Defensive staple, Indomie & CPG brand strength. → Long-term, Defensive
9. ADMR — Adaro Minerals Indonesia | Energy/Mining | 🟡 TRADING BUY Entry: 1,750-1,760 | Target: 1,800-1,825 | SL: 1,645
10. TUGU — Asuransi Tugu Pratama | Insurance | 🟡 TRADING BUY Entry: 1,145-1,150 | Target: 1,180-1,200 | SL: 1,090
🔮 MARKET OUTLOOK
🐻 Bearish: Continued foreign outflows, rupiah pressure (~Rp17,400/USD), US rate uncertainty, Middle East tensions
🐂 Bullish: OJK reassurance, Indonesia retains EM status, banking/telecom strong fundamentals, market closed 2 days may cool selling pressure
Key Support: 6,650 – 6,700 (immediate), 6,538 – 6,585 (worst case gap)
📅 KEY DATES
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| May 14-15 | Market CLOSED (Ascension Day) |
| May 18 (Mon) | Market reopens |
| May 29 | MSCI changes apply at close |
| June 1 | MSCI changes effective |
| June 18 | GOTO RUPSLB (buyback approval) |
📡 Sources: Trading Economics, MNC Sekuritas, Mirae Asset, Phintraco, CNBC Indonesia, Bisnis.com, Kontan, IDN Financials, IDX/BEI
Generated by AndreFinance 💸 | May 14, 2026