📊 IHSG DAILY REPORT — 13 Mei 2026 === Closing Analysis ===
1. MARKET SNAPSHOT
| Tanggal | Open | High | Low | Close | Chg (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mei (Sen) | — | 7,001.68 | 6,846.63 | 6,905.62 | -0.92% |
| 12 Mei (Sel) | 6,949.84 | 6,977.28 | ~6,762 | 6,858.89 | -0.68% |
| 13 Mei (Rab) | 6,751.04 | 6,787.35 | 6,705.43 | 6,723.32 | -1.98% |
Market Cap (12 Mei): Rp12,171 triliun Volume (12 Mei): 32.98 miliar saham | Value: Rp16.29 triliun
2. KEY CATALYSTS
🐻 Bearish:
- MSCI Rebalancing Mei 2026: 6 saham RI keluar Global Standard Index (AMMN, BREN, TPIA, DSSA, CUAN, AMRT); 13 saham keluar Small Cap. Potensi outflow asing Rp22T
- Rupiah rekor terendah Rp17,500–Rp17,530/USD
- Foreign Net Sell: Rp799M (12 Mei) → Rp1.1T sesi I (13 Mei)
- Inflasi AS April > ekspektasi; konflik AS-Iran dorong harga minyak
- Libur bursa 14-15 Mei (Ascension Day + cuti bersama)
🐂 Bullish:
- IKK Indonesia solid 123 (April 2026)
- OJK: "koreksi wajar"
- Asing net buy Rp12.26T jelang MSCI
3. SEKTORAL (12 Mei)
✅ Transportasi (satu-satunya positif) 🔴 Kesehatan -3.51% | Perindustrian -3.21% | Infrastruktur -1.49%
4. BIG CAPS MOVERS (12 Mei)
Top: DSSA +2.64%, BBNI +2.36% Losers: BREN -4.75%, BYAN -3.80%, ASII -3.31%
5. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Elliott Wave: Wave [v] dari Wave A dari Wave (2)
Support: 6,745 / 6,682 / 6,644-6,727 Gap area: 6,538-6,585 Resistance: 6,870-6,895 / 6,917 / 7,069
Outlook: Bearish jangka pendek, worst case 6,644-6,727
6. MSCI IMPACT
Global Standard OUT: AMMN, BREN, TPIA, DSSA, CUAN, AMRT Small Cap IN (dari Global Standard): AMRT Small Cap OUT (13): ANTM, AALI, BANK, BSDE, DSNG, SIDO, MIDI, MIKA, MSIN, TKIM, APIC, SSMS, TAPG
⚠️ HINDARI: CUAN (-10.05%), AMMN (-9.09%), BRPT (-8.77%)
7. 10 STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS
- ISAT (Rp2,370) — Buy on Weakness, TP Rp2,410, SL Rp2,320
- BBCA (~Rp8,950) — Accumulate. Blue chip safe haven.
- EXCL (Rp3,100) — Buy, TP Rp3,180, SL Rp3,060
- BBNI (Rp3,910) — Trading Buy. +2.36% 12 Mei
- MEDC — Spec Buy. Energi, kenaikan minyak global
- ADRO — Accumulate on Weakness. Batubara, dividen yield tinggi
- AADI — Buy on Weakness. Spin-off Adaro play
- INCO (Rp5,875) — Buy on Weakness. Nikel EV battery
- DEWA (Rp484) — Trading Buy trailing, TP Rp500, SL Rp468
- CPIN (Rp4,160) — Buy/Swing. Top gainer LQ45 +4.52%
8. STRATEGY
Bearish bias 1-2 minggu. Buy on weakness saham defensif: Telko (ISAT, EXCL), Banking (BBCA, BBNI), Consumer Staples (CPIN, JPFA), Transport (BIRD).
📌 Pasar libur 14-15 Mei. Posisi dibawa ke Senin 18 Mei.
📡 Data: BEI, MNC Sekuritas, Mirae Asset, Mandiri Sekuritas, BNI Sekuritas, CGS International, Phintraco, Panin, Phillip, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas.
Generated: 13 Mei 2026 20:48 WIB | 💸 AndreFinance